2026 年 3 月 27 日 刘梦麟 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340521070002 电话：0769-22110619 邮箱： liumenglin@dgzq.com.cn 周 报 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFind 证 超配（维持） 半导体行业双周报（2026/03/13-2026/03/26） 行 业 存储价格持续上涨压制消费类电子需求 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 半导体行业 半导体行业指数近两周涨跌幅：截至2026年3月26日，申万半导体行业指 数近两周（2026/03/13-2026/03/26）累计下跌5.51%，跑输沪深300指 数1.03个百分点；2026年以来申万半导体行业指数累计上涨2.17%，跑 赢沪深300指数5.46个百分点。 半导体行业（申万）指数走势 行业新闻与公司动态：（1）多家手机厂商宣布调价；（2）IDC：2025年 中国智能眼镜市场出货量246万台，同比增长87.1%；（3）英伟达CEO黄 仁勋：AGI时代已经到来，"龙虾开公司"不 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, with a focus on AI and mechanical equipment investment opportunities [1]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the potential of AI-driven mechanical equipment, particularly in the robotics sector, where companies like Yushu Technology are showing significant growth in revenue and profitability [1]. - The GTC conference highlighted the increasing demand for AI computing power, which is expected to drive growth in PCB and liquid cooling segments [2]. - The solar equipment sector is poised to benefit from Tesla's procurement of photovoltaic equipment and Blue Origin's satellite launch plans, indicating strong demand for leading equipment manufacturers [3]. Summary by Sections Recommended Companies - The report suggests a focus on companies such as Northern Huachuang, Sany Heavy Industry, and Zhongwei Company, among others, across various segments including robotics, AI devices, and solar equipment [1][2][3]. Industry Trends - The robotics industry is experiencing a significant rebound, with Yushu Technology's IPO materials indicating a revenue increase of 335.36% and a net profit increase of 674.29% for 2025 [1]. - The AI device sector is seeing advancements in architecture and cooling solutions, with Nvidia's LPU architecture expected to enhance performance and drive PCB demand [2]. - The solar equipment market is benefiting from increased demand driven by major companies like Tesla and innovative projects like Blue Origin's satellite constellation [3]. Market Dynamics - The oil service equipment sector is facing short-term adjustments due to geopolitical tensions, but long-term demand is expected to rise as oil prices remain high and reconstruction efforts in conflict areas increase [7]. - The mechanical equipment industry is projected to see significant growth opportunities due to China's increasing foreign investments and the global demand for advanced machinery [37].

Group 1 - The mechanical equipment sector is expected to outperform the market, driven by a combination of cyclical recovery and growth potential, with engineering machinery and rail transit equipment showing significant profit recovery and low valuations [3][10] - The commercial aerospace sector is anticipated to reach a critical turning point in 2026, with advancements in reusable rocket technology and an increase in launch frequency, leading to a projected 197% year-on-year growth in payload quality [3][4] - The humanoid robotics industry is transitioning towards large-scale production, with significant cost reductions and improved capabilities expected, particularly with the launch of the Optimus V3 model [3][4] Group 2 - The semiconductor equipment sector is poised for growth due to increased demand from storage expansion and advanced packaging upgrades, with key players expected to benefit from ongoing capital expenditure recovery [3][4] - The PCB equipment market is experiencing a shift towards high-end products, driven by the penetration of AI servers and HPC architectures, leading to increased demand for new capacity and upgrades of existing production lines [3][4] - The controllable nuclear fusion sector is advancing with the construction of experimental devices and the bidding for key equipment, with high-temperature superconducting materials expected to become a core beneficiary of technological evolution [3][4] Group 3 - The mechanical equipment sector has shown a significant recovery in profitability, with 17 out of 19 sub-industries reporting improved net profit margins, indicating a broad-based recovery [12][33] - The sector's valuation has rebounded to a historically high level, with the current PE ratio at 35.42, reflecting a strong market preference for growth-oriented manufacturing assets [13][26] - The demand side remains weak but is stabilizing, with high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing showing better performance compared to traditional sectors, indicating a gradual recovery in the overall manufacturing landscape [34][38]

重要内容提示： | 权益变动方向 | 比例增加 | | 比例减少 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 权益变动前合计比例 | 7.30% | | | | 权益变动后合计比例 | 6.96% | | | | 本次变动是否违反已作出的承 诺、意向、计划 | 是 | 否 | | | 是否触发强制要约收购义务 | 是 | 否 | | 证券代码：688072 证券简称：拓荆科技 公告编号：2026-010 拓荆科技股份有限公司 关于持股 5%以上股东权益变动触及 1%刻度的提示性公告 股东中微半导体设备（上海）股份有限公司（以下简称"中微公司"）保证向拓荆 科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）提供的信息真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司董事会及全体董事保证公告内容与信息披露义务人提供的信息一致。 | 投资者名称 | 变动前股数 | 变动前比 | 变动后股数 | 变动后比 | 权益变动方式 | | 权益变动的 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | （万股） | 例（%） | （万股） ...

Summary of Key Findings from China Semiconductors Tour 1H26 Industry Overview - The semiconductor industry in China is experiencing strong demand, particularly in sectors other than mobile, with companies gaining market share through technological advancements and localization efforts [1][2]. Core Insights Semiconductor Equipment (Semicap) - Front-end capacity expansion remains robust, with DRAM orders expected for a Shanghai fab soon and additional fabs planned for Beijing and Hefei by 2027-28 [2]. - Advanced logic orders are anticipated to bring significant upside, although visibility for mature logic remains less clear [2]. - The localization rate for semiconductor equipment is projected to rise from approximately 30% to 45% this year, with domestic suppliers gaining traction [12][26]. AI Chips - Demand for AI chips continues to be strong, but capacity constraints are a significant bottleneck [3]. - CSPs are shifting towards local vendors due to restrictions on Nvidia chips, increasing demand for local chips in inferencing [3]. Power Discrete - Foundry and IDM capacity in China is tightening, leading to expected price increases for power discrete components [4]. - Demand in the automotive sector is projected to grow over 20%, while consumer demand is expected to be weaker [4]. Analog Semiconductors - New product releases are driving market share gains, with pricing stabilizing and potential recovery expected this year [5]. - The automotive segment is anticipated to grow faster than others, with increasing content per vehicle [5]. Financial Guidance and Market Performance - Companies such as NAURA, AMEC, Piotech, SMIC, Hua Hong, Cambricon, Hygon, and Horizon Robotics are rated as outperformers, while Silergy is marked as market-perform and Black Sesame as underperform [8]. - AMEC aims for RMB 100 billion in revenue over the next five years, targeting a 30% CAGR [23]. - The overall gross margin for semicap is expected to decline to around 39% in 2026, driven by competition and margin compression in mature-node and memory segments [18]. Investment Implications - The semiconductor equipment market in China is projected to reach RMB 500-600 billion by 2030, with a conservative estimate of capturing 20% market share [23]. - The localization of semiconductor equipment is seen as irreversible, with significant opportunities for domestic suppliers [12][13]. Additional Observations - The competitive landscape is characterized by regional government support and competition, which is driving growth in the semiconductor sector [26]. - Companies are focusing on R&D and product development to enhance competitiveness, particularly in advanced technology areas such as GAA and 3D NAND processes [30][41]. Conclusion - The semiconductor industry in China is poised for growth, driven by strong demand across various segments, localization efforts, and technological advancements. Companies are strategically positioning themselves to capitalize on these trends, with a focus on expanding market share and improving financial performance.

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the electronic industry, particularly focusing on investment opportunities in domestic semiconductor materials and AI computing infrastructure [4]. Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for innovation in the electronic information and machinery sectors, highlighting the importance of developing high-end and scarce products, and accelerating breakthroughs in key components and materials [4]. - There is a significant focus on the domestic production of semiconductor materials, with recommendations to invest in areas such as photolithography materials, electronic gases, high-purity wet electronic chemicals, and large-size silicon wafers due to their low domestic production rates [4]. - The report identifies investment opportunities in advanced processes, storage chips, and third-generation semiconductor fields, emphasizing the need to enhance manufacturing capabilities and develop high-performance processors and high-density storage [4]. - The importance of domestic AI computing chips is highlighted, with a call for the development of high-performance AI chips and foundational software stacks, as well as innovations in model architecture and algorithm optimization [4]. - The report underscores that the demand for computing power is supported by policies aimed at enhancing digital infrastructure and promoting the digital economy, including the establishment of national computing power facilities [4]. Summary by Sections - **Semiconductor Materials**: Focus on domestic production and investment opportunities in low domestic supply areas such as photolithography materials and electronic gases [4]. - **Advanced Processes and Storage Chips**: Emphasis on improving manufacturing capabilities and developing high-performance components in the semiconductor industry [4]. - **AI Computing Chips**: Highlighting the critical role of domestic AI chips in supporting infrastructure and innovation in AI technologies [4]. - **Policy Support for Computing Demand**: Policies are in place to enhance digital infrastructure and support the growth of the digital economy, ensuring a stable demand for computing power [4].

Investment Rating - The mechanical equipment industry is rated as "Outperform" compared to the market [1] Core Insights - The semiconductor equipment and components sector is expected to see accelerated domestic substitution due to rising prices of key materials and supply chain security demands [2] - The laser equipment sub-sector showed the best performance with a weekly increase of 7.89% [2] - The report highlights the potential for price increases in the tool industry driven by rising raw material costs and recovering demand [2] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 1.07% this week, while the mechanical equipment sector fell by 2.81%, ranking 19th out of 31 sectors [5][6] - The PE-TTM for the mechanical equipment sector is at 43.7x, within the 92nd percentile over the past three months [11] Sub-sector Analysis - The top-performing sub-sector was laser equipment (+7.89%), while the worst performers included instruments and meters (-7.18%) and robotics (-6.72%) [8][2] - The PE-TTM for sub-sectors shows significant variation, with other automation at 201.3x and robotics at 193.8x, while rail transportation III is at 18.8x [11] Key Companies and Recommendations - Recommended companies in the semiconductor equipment sector include North Huachuang (002371), Zhongwei Company (688012), and Shengmei Shanghai (688082) [2] - In the controllable nuclear fusion sector, recommended companies include Wanyi Technology (688600) [2] - For commercial aerospace, suggested companies are Western Materials (002149) and Yingliu Co., Ltd. (603308) [2] Market Trends - The report indicates a strong growth trajectory for the semiconductor equipment market, driven by domestic supply chain enhancements and increasing demand for high-purity materials [2] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to experience a significant increase in launch frequency and market size, with projections indicating a market growth from 10.26 billion yuan in 2025 to 47.39 billion yuan by 2030 [37]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the electronic industry, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector [5]. Core Insights - SRAM is expanding its applications in AI inference, with stacking solutions aiding in capacity expansion. This presents significant investment opportunities in related companies [3][8]. - The report highlights the potential of SRAM architecture in AI inference, emphasizing its high access speed and low latency, which are critical for data requiring quick access [7]. - The industry is witnessing a trend towards 3D stacking solutions for SRAM, which can enhance density and overcome traditional capacity limitations [7]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Key companies to watch include: - Zhaoyi Innovation (兆易创新) and Beijing Junzheng (北京君正) for customized storage solutions [3][8]. - Hengshuo Co., Ltd. (恒烁股份) for SRAM-based digital computing solutions [3][8]. - Changdian Technology (长电科技) and Tongfu Microelectronics (通富微电) for advanced packaging [3][8]. - Companies like Deep South Circuit (深南电路) and Huitian Technology (沪电股份) are expected to benefit from NVIDIA's new chip solutions [3][8]. - Upstream PCB companies such as Shengyi Technology (生益科技) and Nanya Technology (南亚新材) are also highlighted [3][8]. Industry Developments - NVIDIA is set to unveil new AI inference chip solutions at the GTC 2026 conference, which could drive further SRAM applications [7]. - The report notes that SRAM's architecture is gaining recognition for its potential in AI inference, particularly for small parameter models and intermediate results [7]. - The 3D stacking technology, such as AMD's 3D V-Cache, is noted for its ability to significantly increase SRAM cache capacity [7][15].

Stock Recommendations - Kingsoft Office (688111.SH) is positioned to benefit from AI developments despite recent stock price adjustments, with an expected EPS growth from 3.56 in 2024 to 4.57 in 2026[5] - Shengyi Technology (600183.SH) anticipates significant growth driven by server PCB upgrades and new AI customer acquisitions, with EPS projected to rise from 0.74 in 2024 to 2.37 in 2026[5] - Tuojing Technology (688072.SH) maintains a leading position in thin film deposition equipment, with EPS expected to increase from 2.48 in 2024 to 5.96 in 2026[5] Automotive Sector Insights - Bertly (603596.SH) is expected to benefit from the focus on autonomous driving, with an EPS forecast of 2.85 in 2026, reflecting a growth trajectory[6] - Yinlun (002126.SZ) is projected to see EPS growth from 0.96 in 2024 to 1.49 in 2026, supported by economic recovery in construction machinery and heavy trucks[6] Market Performance Overview - The weighted return of the gold stock portfolio in February 2026 was 6.47%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.09%[12] - Silver Wheel (002126.SZ) had the highest monthly increase at 32.15%, while Hongyuan Electronics (603267.SH) rose by 22.52%[12] Risk Factors - Potential risks include overseas policy changes and individual company operational risks, which could affect performance and earnings volatility[8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that SK Hynix has announced a significant investment of 21.6 trillion KRW (approximately 150.7 billion USD) to build its first factory and cleanroom facilities, with production expected to accelerate due to tight supply conditions in the DRAM and NAND markets [3] - The domestic advanced logic expansion is expected to exceed expectations, driven by the booming AI industry and increasing demand for advanced process foundry services [4] - The report emphasizes the trend of domestic semiconductor equipment localization, with over 55% of new production line investments in domestic wafer fabs expected to be in domestic equipment by 2025 [4] - NVIDIA's introduction of the Feynman chip with 3D packaging and hybrid bonding is anticipated to create significant growth opportunities for advanced packaging and hybrid bonding equipment [5] Summary by Sections SK Hynix Investment - SK Hynix's investment is a clear signal for global storage expansion, responding to AI-driven demand and supply constraints [3] Domestic Advanced Logic Expansion - The report notes that major domestic players are accelerating high-end manufacturing layouts, with a strong demand for advanced logic foundry services [4] Semiconductor Equipment Localization - The report discusses the impact of export controls on Japanese entities, leading to a shift towards domestic semiconductor equipment, particularly in critical processes like etching and cleaning [4] Advanced Packaging Trends - NVIDIA's advancements in 3D packaging are expected to drive growth in the advanced packaging sector, with domestic companies positioning themselves to benefit from this trend [5]