朝闻国盛：收支回落，关注年末冲量力度

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - The report highlights a decline in both fiscal revenue and expenditure in November, with general fiscal revenue growth turning negative and both tax and non-tax revenue growth slowing down [3] - Cumulative fiscal expenditure from January to November was 83.7%, significantly below the seasonal average of 86.7% over the past three years, indicating a slower spending pace [3] - If December's expenditure growth can rise to 10%, the total fiscal revenue for the year could exceed expenditure by approximately 630 billion, potentially creating a surplus to support 2026 spending [3] Group 2: Employment and Monetary Policy - The U.S. non-farm employment data for October and November showed significant volatility, primarily due to government sector disruptions, while the private sector remained stable [4] - The unemployment rate slightly increased, indicating a moderate slowdown in overall employment, yet the resilience of the job market remains strong [4] - Market expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve remain unchanged, with a 24% probability of a rate cut in January 2026, suggesting a critical period for monetary policy decisions [4] Group 3: 3D Printing Industry Overview - The global 3D printing market is projected to reach $21.9 billion in 2024, with printers and services accounting for 74% and materials for 20% of the market [7] - The consumer-grade 3D printing market is expected to grow from $4.1 billion in 2024 to $16.9 billion by 2029, with Chinese manufacturers dominating 94% of the global market [8] - Industrial-grade 3D printing is heavily utilized in the aerospace sector, with significant revenue contributions from companies like Plutotech and Huazhu High-Tech, indicating a robust growth trajectory in commercial space endeavors [9] Group 4: Investment Opportunities in 3D Printing - The report identifies key players in the consumer-grade 3D printing market, including TuoZhu Technology and Chuangxiang Sanwei, which are expected to benefit from the industry's accelerated growth [10] - The industrial-grade 3D printing market is also highlighted, with companies like Plutotech and Huazhu High-Tech positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for advanced manufacturing solutions [10] - The report emphasizes the potential of 3D printing technology in various sectors, including electronics and aerospace, suggesting a broad range of investment opportunities [10]