CECL(SH:600675) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-12-19 03:31Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth and has turned a profit in the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue reaching 7.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 336.8%, and a net profit of 350 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [4][5] - The company is focusing on expanding its business in Shanghai and has successfully increased its property management projects, with a management scale of 25.31 million square meters [5] - The financial health of the company is stable, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 66.03% and a net debt ratio of 40.01%, indicating manageable debt levels [5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A at 13,187 million yuan, 2024A at 6,959 million yuan, 2025E at 8,337 million yuan, 2026E at 8,745 million yuan, and 2027E at 8,981 million yuan, with a growth rate of -47% in 2024A and a recovery of 20% in 2025E [3] - The company's net profit is projected to be -317 million yuan in 2024A, recovering to 648 million yuan in 2025E, and further increasing to 680 million yuan in 2026E and 703 million yuan in 2027E [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be -0.05 yuan in 2024A, recovering to 0.11 yuan in 2025E and remaining stable at 0.11 yuan in 2026E and 0.12 yuan in 2027E [3] Business Strategy - The company is actively expanding into new business areas, including agriculture and food supply chains, with a 100% renewal rate of contracts with major clients [5] - The company has successfully issued 1.52 billion yuan in corporate bonds at a historical low interest rate of 1.88%, enhancing its financing capabilities [5]