ECOVACS(SH:603486) Western Securities·2025-12-21 07:44Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company [6][17]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong profitability in recent quarters, with concerns about the impact of national subsidies and increased competition in the floor cleaning robot market. However, the ongoing operational improvement cycle is expected to mitigate some of these risks [1][15]. - The high gross margin of the company's roller products is attributed to lightweight design upgrades and rapid iteration speed, which provide pricing power. There is potential for further optimization in both short-term and long-term perspectives [1][2]. - The third-party platform business and collaboration within the robotics industry chain are expected to provide additional long-term efficiency improvements [2][56]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - The company has improved its gross and net profit margins significantly in Q1-Q3 of 2025 compared to 2023 [1][25]. - Concerns exist regarding the potential slowdown in domestic sales due to subsidy reductions and increased competition in the cleaning robot market [27]. Roller Product Margins - The high gross margin of roller products is primarily due to their lightweight design and the company's rapid product iteration, which allows for premium pricing [1][32]. - Short-term benefits are expected from an increased proportion of high-margin roller products and enhanced overseas market penetration [1][43]. - Long-term optimization opportunities exist as the company addresses existing pain points in cleaning robots, which could lead to further margin improvements [52]. Third-Party Platform and Robotics Industry Synergy - The company has the capability to build a platform that enhances revenue flexibility and profitability through supply chain localization and cost reduction [2][56]. - Strategic investments in the robotics industry chain are expected to yield direct investment returns and provide cost efficiency and innovation opportunities for the core business [2][58]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 189.23 billion, 219.73 billion, and 249.19 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14.39%, 16.12%, and 13.41% [2][17]. - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 19.54 billion, 23.06 billion, and 27.77 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 142.4%, 18.0%, and 20.4% [2][17].