JZYY(SH:600750) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-12-23 08:14Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical, indicating a potential upside of 36% based on a target market value of 214 billion yuan compared to the current market value of 157 billion yuan [7][8]. Core Insights - Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical is positioned as a leader in gastrointestinal health, with a diversified business model encompassing OTC, prescription drugs, and health consumer products. The company has successfully built a strong brand presence with its well-known trademarks "Jiangzhong" and "Chuyuan" [5][16]. - The company has a robust product portfolio, including major products in the OTC market such as the 1 billion yuan "Jiangzhong Digestive Tablets" and the 500 million yuan "Lactobacillus Tablets" [7][36]. - The financial outlook is positive, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 expected to grow at compound annual growth rates of 8.3%, 10.0%, and 11.9%, respectively [6][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical was established in 1969 and became publicly listed in 1998. The company has undergone significant restructuring and acquisitions, including the purchase of Jisheng Pharmaceutical and Sanghai Pharmaceutical, to enhance its market position [5][16]. - The company has a stable shareholding structure, with China Resources Group as the largest shareholder, which strengthens its operational capabilities and risk management [18][19]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The total revenue for 2024 is projected at 4.435 billion yuan, with a slight decline expected in 2025 before a recovery in subsequent years, reaching 5.089 billion yuan by 2027 [6]. - The gross profit margin is expected to remain stable around 65%, with the OTC segment showing a slight increase in profitability due to product mix optimization [26]. Investment Highlights - The company is focusing on expanding its OTC market presence by leveraging its strong brand and developing new product categories. The gastrointestinal product line is expected to maintain stable growth, while the health consumer products segment is anticipated to benefit from demographic trends such as aging populations [7][32]. - Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical's prescription drug segment is also expected to grow as the company continues to enhance its product offerings through acquisitions and strategic partnerships [7][32]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company has maintained a leading market share in the OTC segment, particularly with its flagship product, the Jiangzhong Digestive Tablets, which ranked second in sales among digestive system medications in urban pharmacies [38][44]. - The competitive landscape for gastrointestinal products is fragmented, but Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical's brand strength allows it to maintain a dominant position [42][44].