SAILUN GROUP(SH:601058) Bank of China Securities·2025-12-24 01:42Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with an initial coverage date of December 24, 2025 [1][3]. Core Views - The company, Sailun Tire, is recognized for its global capacity layout and continuous enhancement of product and brand strength. The company has established a comprehensive global production capacity and R&D system, positioning itself as a leading player in the domestic tire industry [3][17]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on overseas production bases, which are expected to drive revenue and performance growth through enhanced product value and capacity release [3][5]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve net profits of RMB 3.769 billion, RMB 4.815 billion, and RMB 5.600 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 1.15, RMB 1.46, and RMB 1.70. The PE ratios are expected to be 15.2x, 11.9x, and 10.2x for the same years [5]. - The company's revenue is forecasted to grow from RMB 25.978 billion in 2023 to RMB 41.876 billion by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.6% from 2023 to 2024 and 22.4% from 2024 to 2025 [7]. Market Position and Strategy - Sailun Tire is the first private tire company listed on the A-share market and has established overseas production bases in Vietnam and Cambodia, with ongoing projects in Egypt. The company aims to leverage cost advantages and mitigate trade risks through its global production strategy [8][18]. - The global tire market is projected to exceed USD 190 billion in 2023, with a steady growth rate of 4.15% CAGR from 2020 to 2024. The company is positioned to capture a larger market share as domestic brands increase their presence in the global market [11][41]. Product Development and Innovation - The company has developed a high-performance product known as "Liquid Gold" tire, which addresses long-standing industry challenges. This innovation is expected to enhance the company's product competitiveness and brand influence [8][17]. - The non-road tire segment is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing demand in mining and infrastructure sectors. The global non-road tire market is expected to grow from USD 34.4 billion in 2024 to USD 43.8 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 4.9% [8][12]. Capacity Expansion - As of 2025, the company plans to achieve an annual production capacity of 31.55 million all-steel tires, 109 million semi-steel tires, and 467,000 tons of non-road tires, with significant contributions from overseas bases [20][23]. - The company has successfully expanded its production capacity through strategic acquisitions and the establishment of new facilities, which have significantly contributed to revenue growth [24][25].