BOMESC(SH:603727) EBSCN·2025-12-24 07:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [4][6]. Core Insights - The company experienced a decline in performance due to asset impairment, with total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 at 1.32 billion yuan, down 24.8% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23.41 million yuan, down 75.2% year-on-year [1][15]. - The FPSO market is expected to remain robust, particularly in South America, with a projected market size of USD 13.06 billion in 2025, growing to USD 19.65 billion by 2030, representing a CAGR of 8.51% from 2025 to 2030 [2][24]. - The company has secured significant contracts, enhancing its engineering and construction capabilities, including a recent FPSO project contract worth approximately USD 190-240 million [3][37]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1.32 billion yuan, a decrease of 24.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 23.41 million yuan, down 75.2% year-on-year. The gross margin improved slightly to 15.11%, up 0.16 percentage points year-on-year [1][15][17]. - The company recognized asset impairment losses of 80.63 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, significantly higher than the 20.70 million yuan recognized in the same period last year [1][17]. Market Outlook - The global FPSO market is entering a growth cycle, with South America leading in demand. Brazil's national oil company plans to invest approximately USD 91.5 billion over the next five years, focusing on deepwater oil fields [2][28]. - The FPSO market is projected to see the delivery of 48 new units from 2024 to 2028, with South America and Africa being the primary regions for demand [24][28]. Contract Acquisition and Capabilities - The company has deepened its collaboration with FPSO contractors like SBM and MODEC, securing multiple large contracts since 2018. A recent contract signed in October 2025 with MODEC and others is valued at approximately USD 190-240 million [3][37]. - The company is recognized for its modular construction capabilities, having developed a strong reputation for timely delivery and quality, which has led to multiple safety and quality awards from clients [3][37]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to asset impairment impacts, the profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised downwards, with expected net profits of 49 million yuan and 159 million yuan, respectively. The forecast for 2027 is set at 329 million yuan [4][41]. - The report anticipates a recovery in profitability as the overseas oil service market remains strong and key FPSO projects progress smoothly [4][41].