CATL(SZ:300750) Bank of China Securities·2025-12-29 01:03Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry chain is experiencing a price increase trend, while the price competition for lithium battery materials is intensifying [1]. - In the fourth quarter, which is the peak sales season for new energy vehicles, domestic sales of new energy vehicles are expected to maintain high growth in 2025, driving demand for batteries and materials [1]. - The solid-state battery industrialization is progressing, and attention should be paid to the verification progress of related materials and equipment companies [1]. - The report emphasizes a "de-involution" strategy as the main investment theme for photovoltaics, with the integration and acquisition of polysilicon production capacity becoming more proactive [1]. - The demand for wind power is expected to continue growing, with a focus on wind turbines and offshore wind power [1]. - The energy storage sector remains highly prosperous, with recommendations to focus on energy storage cells and large-scale integrated plants [1]. - Hydrogen energy is anticipated to open up demand for green hydrogen, with a focus on downstream hydrogen-based energy applications [1]. - The report suggests monitoring core suppliers in the nuclear fusion sector as it represents a long-term catalytic direction for future energy development [1]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The power equipment and new energy sector rose by 5.37% this week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.88% [10]. - The wind power sector saw the highest increase at 7.14%, followed by the photovoltaic sector at 6.56% [13]. Lithium Battery Market - The price of lithium carbonate has continued to rise, with battery-grade lithium carbonate priced at approximately 98,000 RMB per ton, reflecting an 8% increase [25]. - The price of lithium iron phosphate battery cells has also seen an upward trend, with prices for various models ranging from 0.285 to 0.425 RMB per watt-hour [26]. Photovoltaic Market - The price of polysilicon remains stable, with tight supply and weak downstream demand affecting price transmission [15]. - The price of silicon wafers has shown a significant increase, driven by rising silver prices and industry self-discipline [16]. - The price of battery cells has increased to 0.34 RMB per watt, with manufacturers actively raising prices due to cost pressures [17]. Energy Storage Market - The price of energy storage systems has rebounded, with prices for various configurations ranging from 0.40 to 0.82 RMB per watt-hour [27]. - The demand for energy storage remains strong, particularly in overseas markets, contributing to price stability [26].