Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4][10]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in thermal management and is accelerating its globalization process, with its robotics business opening new growth ceilings [3][7]. - The company achieved a total revenue of 24.03 billion RMB in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.24 billion RMB, with a growth rate exceeding 40% [7][27]. - The report forecasts net profits of 4.253 billion RMB, 4.650 billion RMB, and 5.099 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 37.2%, 9.4%, and 9.6% [10][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Globalization and Business Expansion - The company has successfully listed in both A and H shares, enhancing its global competitiveness and financing channels [7][42]. - The company has a strong market position in traditional refrigeration components and automotive thermal management, with significant revenue contributions from both sectors [9][28]. 2. Mature Business: Strong Position in Refrigeration and Automotive Components - The traditional refrigeration business remains robust, contributing 64% of total revenue in H1 2025, while the automotive components business has rapidly increased its share to 36% [28][34]. - The company has maintained a leading market share in key refrigeration components, with electronic expansion valves and microchannel heat exchangers showing significant growth [50][58]. 3. Emerging Business: Energy Storage and Robotics - The energy storage and robotics sectors are expected to drive future growth, with the company leveraging its existing technology to enter these markets [9][12]. - The robotics division has been established to focus on high-value electromechanical actuators, with plans for mass production in collaboration with global clients [9][12]. 4. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 24.56 billion RMB, 27.95 billion RMB, and 31.91 billion RMB from 2023 to 2025, with corresponding growth rates of 15.0%, 13.8%, and 14.2% [8][10]. - The report estimates a reasonable market capitalization of 1,433 billion RMB, indicating a potential upside of 12.3% from the current H-share market value [10][11].
三花智控（02050）：热管理领军者加速全球化进程，机器人业务打开成长天花板