Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [9][10]. Core Insights - The company is a leading provider of ICT infrastructure and solutions, focusing on network equipment, cloud desktops, and network security services. It ranks among the top three in the network equipment and cloud desktop sectors. The data center switch business is a core growth engine, having established stable supply and cooperation relationships with cloud vendors [6][8]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 10.68 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 27.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 680 million RMB, up 65.3% year-on-year [6][33]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s projected total revenue for 2025-2027 is as follows: - 2025: 15.147 billion RMB - 2026: 18.134 billion RMB - 2027: 21.416 billion RMB - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is projected to be: - 2025: 977 million RMB - 2026: 1.401 billion RMB - 2027: 1.845 billion RMB - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to grow from 1.23 RMB in 2025 to 2.32 RMB in 2027 [7][9]. Market Dynamics - The global data center switch market is expected to grow significantly, driven by increased capital expenditures from cloud vendors. The market size is projected to reach 36.7 billion USD in 2025 and 42.8 billion USD in 2026, with a year-on-year growth rate of approximately 16.4% [8][63]. - The company has a competitive edge in the white-box switch market, having won bids for next-generation switch products from major cloud vendors like ByteDance, Alibaba, and Tencent [8][11]. Business Model and Technological Positioning - The company has developed a robust business model through JDM (Joint Design Manufacturing) partnerships with leading cloud vendors, enhancing its delivery capabilities and market penetration [10][11]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing transition towards AI-driven data center networks, with significant technological reserves in LPO (Linear Photonic Optimization), NPO (Next-Generation Photonic Optimization), and CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) technologies [8][11]. Competitive Landscape - The report highlights that the market may underestimate the penetration potential of Ethernet switches in Scale-up networks, which are increasingly being adopted by cloud vendors. This shift is expected to create new market opportunities [11][12]. - The company has established significant barriers to entry in the switch industry, particularly in the domestic market, where the complexity of system optimization necessitates deep collaboration with equipment manufacturers [11][12].
锐捷网络（301165）：敏锐迅捷的AI智算网络筑基者