Tesla(US:TSLA) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-12-29 14:45Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The humanoid robot sector has established a phase-upward trend, with recent index stabilization and rebound, entering a phase of upward channel [5][14] - The sector is expected to transition from "0-1" to "1-10" in 2025, focusing on "technology convergence," and then cross the "1-10" inflection point to "10-100" in 2026, emphasizing "mass production and commercialization" [6][19][29] - The investment focus for 2026 includes the Tesla supply chain and domestic chains, with a strong emphasis on companies like Yushun and Xiaomi/Sailis [7][48] Summary by Sections Humanoid Robot Sector Trends - The humanoid robot index has rebounded, with a 6.23% increase in the core company index last week [5][14] - Key drivers for the rebound include sufficient prior adjustments, positive sentiment, and significant investments by companies like UBTECH [15][19] Technical Evolution and Production Outlook - In 2025, the industry is expected to move from "0-1" to "1-10," focusing on technology convergence around Tesla's robot iterations [19][28] - By 2026, the sector will likely enter a mass production phase, with major players like Tesla and Yushun planning large-scale manufacturing [29][30] Investment Recommendations - The investment strategy for 2026 includes focusing on the Tesla supply chain, emphasizing components like structural parts, bearings, and head assemblies [7][41] - Domestic chains are also highlighted, particularly companies poised for IPOs like Yushun, which will enhance their capital strength for mass production [48][49]