KINGSEMI(SH:688037) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-12-30 08:59Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 167.18 RMB based on a projected PS of 13 times for 2026 [4]. Core Insights - The company specializes in photoresist coating and developing equipment, with a strong presence in advanced packaging, compound semiconductors, and MEMS industries. It is actively expanding into front-end fields. The company's performance in the first three quarters of 2025 is under pressure due to delays in order acceptance, but a significant backlog of orders is expected to drive a return to high growth [2][3]. - The semiconductor equipment industry remains robust, with substantial domestic substitution opportunities for coating and developing equipment. In 2024, global semiconductor equipment sales reached 117.1 billion USD, with China accounting for 49.5 billion USD, reflecting a 35% year-over-year increase [2][3]. - The company has successfully broken the monopoly of foreign manufacturers in the domestic market for coating and developing equipment, launching multiple product models and securing orders from leading domestic clients [2][3]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Domestic Leader in Coating and Developing Equipment - The company has over 20 years of experience in semiconductor equipment, focusing on the development, production, and sales of specialized equipment, including photoresist coating and developing machines. Its product range has expanded to cover various sectors, including front-end wafer processing and advanced packaging [14][16]. Section 2: Accelerating Domestic Substitution and Market Demand Recovery - The semiconductor market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by high demand for advanced technologies. The company's products are essential in the photolithography process, and the demand for photolithography machines is expected to boost the development of coating and developing equipment [33][34]. - The domestic semiconductor equipment market is growing significantly, with a notable increase in market share from 13% in 2015 to 42% in 2024. This growth is attributed to the rise of domestic wafer fabrication plants and the demand for domestic substitution of various semiconductor equipment [60][61]. Section 3: Product Platform Development and Competitive Advantage - The company is actively enriching its product lines, including physical/chemical cleaning, temporary bonding machines, and advanced packaging products, to create new growth opportunities. The acquisition by Northern Huachuang is expected to enhance the company's R&D capabilities and optimize supply chain management [3][67]. - The company has a strong focus on R&D, with a research expense ratio that exceeds industry averages, indicating a commitment to innovation and product development [75]. Section 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 0.5 million RMB, 2.3 million RMB, and 5.1 million RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively. The current PS valuations are 16, 11, and 8 times for the respective years, with a target PS of 13 times for 2026 [4].