工业富联(601138):GPU+ASIC机柜齐发力,交换机高速增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from rapid growth in capital expenditures by North American cloud service providers, with a projected increase in global capital expenditures from major cloud service providers reaching over $600 billion by 2026, reflecting a 40% year-on-year growth [4] - The company has successfully ramped up production of its GB300 product, with improvements in yield and testing efficiency expected to positively impact gross margins in Q4 [4] - The demand for high-speed switches, particularly the 800G switches, has surged, with a year-on-year growth of over 27 times in Q3, driven by the increasing computational and bandwidth needs of AI training and inference models [6] Financial Projections - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 882.9 billion, 1,368.1 billion, and 1,915.0 billion respectively, with net profits of 33.4 billion, 54.9 billion, and 86.8 billion [7] - The expected growth rates for revenue are 44.95% in 2025, 54.95% in 2026, and 39.97% in 2027 [9] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 1.68 in 2025 to 4.37 in 2027, indicating strong profitability growth [9]