GLARUNTECH(SH:600562) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-12-31 11:43Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 34.16 CNY [5][11][24]. Core Insights - The company is a leading supplier of radar equipment and systems, benefiting from the advancement of national defense informatization and the growing demand for civil radar and intelligent transportation. The company is expected to achieve steady growth through structural optimization and increased R&D investment [2][11]. - The radar equipment and subsystems are projected to remain the core revenue and profit drivers, with expected revenue growth rates of 14%/13%/15% from 2025 to 2027 [15][39]. - The industrial software and intelligent manufacturing sectors are anticipated to form an important second growth curve, with revenue growth rates of 1%/17%/20% from 2025 to 2027 [15][39]. - The company is increasing its R&D investment, with a projected R&D expense ratio of 6.65% in 2024, which is expected to enhance its long-term competitiveness [11][37]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 3,282 million CNY in 2023 to 4,982 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 15.7% [4][16]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 599 million CNY in 2023 to 956 million CNY in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 21.2% in 2027 [4][16]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.48 CNY in 2023 to 0.77 CNY in 2027 [4][16]. Business Segmentation - Radar equipment and subsystems are expected to generate significant revenue, with projected sales of 2,275 million CNY in 2023, increasing to 4,027 million CNY by 2027 [16][39]. - The rail transit control system is projected to experience fluctuations, with revenues expected to reach 353.85 million CNY in 2025, followed by a decline in 2026 [16][39]. - The industrial software and intelligent manufacturing segment is expected to grow from 452.81 million CNY in 2023 to 565.87 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [16][39].