Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock's performance in the near term [4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 3.87 billion to 4.65 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 25% to 50%. The non-recurring net profit is projected to be between 3.68 billion to 4.61 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 18% to 48% [1]. - The traditional refrigeration business has shown strong performance, with a revenue increase of 25.5% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, driven by global low-carbon policies and increased demand for cooling components in data centers [1]. - The automotive parts business is recovering, with a revenue of 5.87 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 8.8% year-on-year growth, supported by improved production and sales from major client Tesla [2]. - The company is strategically positioned in the humanoid robot sector, being a key supplier for Tesla's humanoid robot actuators, with plans to contribute significant revenue starting in 2026 [2]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 32.26 billion yuan, 37.13 billion yuan, and 44.12 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 4.24 billion yuan, 5.12 billion yuan, and 6.03 billion yuan for the same years [2]. - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 54, 45, and 38 times respectively, indicating a premium valuation compared to historical averages [2]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to be around 28% in 2025, reflecting a slight improvement from previous years [3].
三花智控(002050):传统制冷和汽零业务业绩表现超预期,人形机器人放量在即