Sunner(SZ:002299) CMS·2026-01-17 09:06Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated superior profitability compared to the industry, leveraging cost optimization and product structure adjustments to mitigate risks associated with low chicken prices. The outlook for the white-feathered chicken breeding segment is promising, which is expected to benefit the downstream market, indicating potential for value extraction across the entire industry chain [1][6]. - The company is projected to achieve significant revenue growth, with total revenue expected to reach 21,519 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a 16% year-on-year increase. The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1,398 million yuan, representing a 93% increase compared to the previous year [2][20]. - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements, with a projected decline of over 5% in comprehensive meat production costs in 2025. The C-end revenue is expected to grow by over 30%, with offline channels seeing growth exceeding 40% [6][13]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 18,487 million yuan in 2023, 18,586 million yuan in 2024, 21,519 million yuan in 2025, 23,646 million yuan in 2026, and 26,008 million yuan in 2027 [2][20]. - The company's operating profit is expected to grow significantly, with estimates of 1,606 million yuan in 2025 and 2,193 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a 100% increase in 2025 and a 29% increase in 2027 [2][20]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.12 yuan in 2025 and 1.58 yuan in 2027, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio expected to decrease from 14.4 in 2025 to 10.2 in 2027 [2][21]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is well-positioned in the market with a breeding capacity exceeding 700 million birds and a steady increase in slaughter volume. The integration of the entire industry chain and self-sufficiency in breeding sources provide a buffer against industry cyclicality [6][13]. - The company is actively expanding its deep processing capabilities and implementing a multi-channel strategy, which has successfully opened up growth opportunities in its food business [6][13]. - The white-feathered chicken breeding segment is expected to maintain high profitability due to a decrease in imported breeding stock and the impact of avian influenza on supply, which will likely affect the downstream market positively [6][13].