西子洁能（002534）：扣非归母净利润预计大幅增长，核电、燃气轮机迎新机遇

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 18.03 yuan for the next 12 months [6][8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in its net profit excluding non-recurring items, with projections of 2.20 to 2.80 billion yuan for 2025, representing a growth of 53.30% to 95.11% year-on-year [1]. - The core business remains strong, with an increase in gross profit margin and improved operational efficiency contributing to the expected growth in net profit [2][4]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities in the North American gas turbine market and is accelerating its global expansion efforts [3]. - The dual drivers of new energy storage and nuclear power are expected to open up growth avenues for the company, supported by favorable government policies [4][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of 4.00 to 4.39 billion yuan for 2025, a slight decrease from 4.40 billion yuan in the previous year, primarily due to reduced non-recurring gains [1]. - The expected revenue for 2025 is 6.73 billion yuan, with projected growth rates of 4.6%, 14.8%, and 13.5% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8][9]. Business Operations - The company holds over 50% market share in the domestic heat recovery boiler sector, indicating a solid leadership position [2]. - The gross profit margin for heat recovery boiler products has improved to 29.68% as of the first half of 2025, supported by strong order quality management [2]. Market Opportunities - The company has established a strong technical partnership with N/E Company in the U.S. since 2002, positioning it to benefit from the growing demand for gas turbines and associated heat recovery boilers in North America [3]. - The new energy storage business is expanding into various applications, including concentrated solar power and flexible transformation of thermal power, with significant market potential [4]. Strategic Developments - The company is enhancing its nuclear power business through the establishment of a joint venture and aims to participate in controlled nuclear fusion projects, which could become new growth drivers [7].