TSMC(US:TSM) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2026-01-19 02:43Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The electronic sector has shown a strong performance, with the industry index rising by 3.64% in the week of January 12-16, 2026. The semiconductor segment led the gains with a 5.12% increase, while other electronic components rose by 4.06%, consumer electronics by 1.99%, and optical electronics by 1.13% [4] - TSMC's optimistic guidance and significant capital expenditure of $52-56 billion for 2026 reflect the long-term demand driven by AI [6] - AI hardware demand is accelerating, with over 50 AI eyewear companies showcased at CES 2026, and OpenAI seeking support for its audio device project with a target shipment of 40-50 million units in the first year [5] Summary by Sections Market Review - The electronic sector experienced broad gains, particularly in semiconductors, which rose by 5.12%. Notable individual stock performances included AMD, which surged by 14.1%, and TSMC, which increased by 5.80% due to positive capital expenditure guidance [4] Industry Dispatch - TSMC's capital expenditure guidance indicates a robust investment in AI hardware, with significant demand for AI eyewear and audio devices. Meta plans to launch multiple AI eyewear models, while Apple is set to release new products featuring advanced technology [5] Supply and Demand Dynamics - DRAM prices are on the rise, with certain DDR4 models increasing by over 12% weekly. AI demand is now estimated to account for 50-60% of the DRAM market. Major companies like SK Hynix and Micron are expanding production to meet this demand [6] Investment Recommendations - Beneficial stocks include SMIC, Huahong, Tongfu Microelectronics, and others, which are expected to perform well in the current market environment [6]