Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [2][7] Core Insights - The company's core highlights include performance improvement and high dividends, with expectations for a continued high dividend payout ratio in the future [6][7] - The return of the founder of Haidilao is expected to positively impact the company's related party business, enhancing morale and management within the organization [6][7] - The company is projected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 0.81 and 0.88 for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a target valuation of 22 times earnings, leading to a target price of HKD 21.5, representing a 44% upside potential [6][7] Financial Performance - The company is expected to see revenue growth of 2% in 2025 and 8% in 2026, with total revenue projected to reach HKD 6,659 million in 2025 and HKD 7,190 million in 2026 [8][12] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at HKD 835 million, reflecting a 13% year-on-year growth, while the net profit for 2026 is projected to be HKD 909 million, with a 9% growth [8][12] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to remain stable around 16.7% for 2026 [13] Business Segments - The third-party business is anticipated to continue its robust growth, particularly in overseas and B-end markets, with a significant increase in B-end revenue expected to double in 2025 [6][7] - The C-end business is undergoing channel reforms to enhance profitability, with successful partnerships established with major retailers [6][7] Dividend Policy - The company has initiated a high dividend payout starting in 2023, with expectations for the dividend yield to exceed 6% in 2025 and 2026 [6][7]
颐海国际（01579）：业绩提速股息可观，重视关联方积极变化