华测检测:Q4增长提速,内生外延有望持续贡献增量-20260121

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [7][14]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 1.013 and 1.021 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10-11%. The fourth quarter alone is expected to see a net profit of 201 to 209 million yuan, with a growth rate of 15-20% [4][5]. - The company has implemented a multi-faceted strategy focusing on enhancing core competitive advantages through quality service, technological innovation, and digital transformation, which has led to a steady increase in revenue and profit [5]. - The company is strategically expanding into several new productivity sectors, including electric vehicle testing, semiconductor testing, aerospace, and robotics, which are expected to open new growth avenues [6]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 65.51 billion, 72.81 billion, and 79.73 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.67%, 11.14%, and 9.5% respectively. Net profits are expected to be 1.017 billion, 1.157 billion, and 1.300 billion yuan, with growth rates of 10.37%, 13.78%, and 12.43% [7][10]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025-2027 are projected to be 27.16, 23.87, and 21.24, indicating a favorable valuation trend [7][10].