Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [13][14]. Core Insights - The company is the only publicly listed entity within the China Tobacco system, tasked with the mission of "international business expansion and capital market operations" [9][18]. - The company has a unique business model with stable operations and strong profit margins, benefiting from exclusive rights in its operations [10][31]. - The company has significant potential for both organic growth and external acquisitions, with a vast reserve of overseas assets within the China Tobacco system [9][10]. Summary by Sections Business Overview - The company operates as the core platform for overseas capital operations and international business expansion within the China Tobacco system [9][18]. - It is expected to integrate high-quality overseas assets from the China Tobacco system and actively seek external acquisition targets to enhance its growth [9][10]. Financial Performance - From 2016 to 2024, the company's revenue and net profit are projected to grow at CAGRs of 10% and 12%, respectively, indicating a stable upward trend in operations [9][10]. - The company has a light asset model with high return on equity (ROE), primarily relying on inventory and receivables, with fixed assets valued at less than 100 million HKD [10][35]. Tobacco Leaf Business - The company has exclusive rights to import and export tobacco leaves, with a projected CAGR of 11% for its import business from 2018 to 2024 [57]. - The pricing model for imported tobacco leaves is based on a fixed markup, typically around 6% [57]. Cigarette Export Business - The company operates in duty-free shops across two countries (Thailand and Singapore) and has a dual model of self-operated and wholesale sales, covering over 200 duty-free outlets [10][31]. - The long-term growth of the cigarette export business is expected to be driven by an increase in self-operated sales, product category expansion, and growth in taxable channels [10][31]. Global Development - The company is positioned to benefit from the global trend towards new tobacco products, with ongoing efforts to expand its market presence in Southeast Asia, Eastern Europe, and the Middle East [12][31]. - The company has already seen significant growth in its Brazilian operations, with revenue increasing from 315 million HKD in 2021 to 1.05 billion HKD in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 49.4% [11][12]. New Tobacco Products - The company is actively developing its new tobacco product export business, focusing on heated non-combustible products, with plans to expand into various international markets [12][31]. - The long-term outlook for this segment is positive, contingent on the introduction of competitive new tobacco products by local industrial companies [12][31].
中烟香港(06055):中烟香港深度:稀缺的烟草出海巨头,内生外延共构未来