渤海证券研究所晨会纪要(2026.01.23)-20260123

Macro and Strategy Research - The market is expected to continue its oscillation and consolidation, with a focus on expanding domestic demand and addressing internal competition issues. The A-share market shows mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.24% and the ChiNext Index falling by 1.17% over the past five trading days [2][3] - Fixed asset investment in December 2025 decreased by 3.8% year-on-year, indicating a weakening trend in investment. Meanwhile, retail sales growth also slowed down due to policy withdrawal and high base effects. Overall, the economic growth rate for 2025 is expected to show a pattern of high first and low second half, with a successful completion of the annual target [2][3] - The government is focusing on strengthening domestic circulation and addressing supply-demand imbalances. A new strategy for expanding domestic demand from 2026 to 2030 is being developed, alongside measures to improve capacity exit mechanisms and control "involution" competition [3] Industry Research - The computer industry is experiencing a downturn, with the sector declining by 7.27% from January 15 to January 21. Most sub-sectors within the computer industry also saw declines, with IT services dropping by 9.54% [6] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is accelerating breakthroughs in key technologies such as training chips and heterogeneous computing power, which is expected to speed up the development of the domestic computing power industry. Domestic cloud computing companies are anticipated to see a rebound in capital expenditure [6][8] - AI applications are expanding, with Alibaba's Qianwen App integrating various services within its ecosystem, indicating a strong potential for AI commercial applications. The report suggests focusing on leading companies that demonstrate strong capabilities in AI technology implementation and scene adaptation [6][8]

渤海证券研究所晨会纪要(2026.01.23)-20260123 - Reportify