INDUSTRIAL BANK(SH:601166) Guolian Minsheng Securities·2026-01-23 08:46Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [2][8]. Core Insights - The company has shown a positive turnaround in revenue growth, with a cumulative revenue increase of 0.2% year-on-year for 2025, and a net profit increase of 0.3% [8]. - The fourth quarter saw a significant expansion in the broad financial market, contributing to the company's asset growth, which increased by 5.6% year-on-year [8]. - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.08% and a provision coverage ratio of 228.41%, indicating improved risk resilience [8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2024A: Revenue of 212,226 million, Net Profit of 77,205 million - 2025E: Revenue of 212,741 million, Net Profit of 77,469 million - 2026E: Revenue of 219,804 million, Net Profit of 80,369 million - 2027E: Revenue of 230,555 million, Net Profit of 84,788 million [2][39]. - Growth Rates: - Revenue growth rates are projected at 0.2% for 2025, 3.3% for 2026, and 4.9% for 2027 - Net profit growth rates are expected to be 0.3% for 2025, 3.7% for 2026, and 5.5% for 2027 [2][39]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - EPS is forecasted to be 3.52 for 2024, 3.47 for 2025, 3.61 for 2026, and 3.82 for 2027 [2][39]. - Valuation Metrics: - Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is projected at 6 for 2025 and 5 for 2026 and 2027 - Price-to-Book (PB) ratio is expected to remain at 0.5 for 2025 and decrease to 0.4 by 2027 [2][39]. Asset and Liability Management - Total assets increased significantly by over 4,200 million in the fourth quarter, surpassing 11 trillion in total assets - Total liabilities grew by 5.9% year-on-year, with deposits increasing by 7.2% [8]. - The company has adjusted its funding strategy to match asset growth, increasing bond issuance and interbank liabilities [8].