CDG(SH:603018) GF SECURITIES·2026-01-26 15:21Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" to the company [2]. Core Insights - The company is a leading private engineering design firm in China, actively innovating and expanding new business lines to create a second growth curve. It is the only firm in the country with comprehensive design capabilities across all transportation sectors [10][18]. - The company is focusing on low-altitude economy initiatives, having signed strategic cooperation agreements to establish six core benchmarks in this area. The low-altitude business segment saw a 96% year-on-year increase in orders in 2024 [10][47]. - The digital transformation is a key focus, with the integration of digital technologies into the transportation sector, providing comprehensive digital solutions. The digital intelligence business is expected to generate revenues of 421 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 7.9% [10][48]. - Profit forecasts indicate that the company's net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 352 million yuan in 2025, with a corresponding reasonable value of 10.30 yuan per share based on a 20x PE valuation for 2025 [10][9]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Company Overview and Business Expansion - The company has a unique position as the only firm with comprehensive design capabilities in the transportation sector, having received numerous awards and maintaining a strong market presence [18][20]. - Traditional business lines are being complemented by new ventures in comprehensive testing, low-carbon and environmental services, and digital intelligence, with significant revenue contributions from these new areas [23][24]. Section 2: Low-Altitude Business Development - The company has established a robust low-altitude business framework, integrating research, planning, and application across the entire industry chain. It has formed strategic partnerships with over 20 leading enterprises in the sector [47][53]. - The low-altitude business segment is expected to continue growing, with new contracts signed in the first half of 2025 amounting to 42.33 million yuan, a 27% increase year-on-year [10][66]. Section 3: Water Transport and Digital Solutions - The company is enhancing its water transport business, aiming to benefit from canal construction projects while implementing digital design solutions for smart transportation [10][48]. - The integration of digital technologies is expected to provide significant growth opportunities, with the digital intelligence segment showing faster revenue growth compared to traditional business lines [10][48]. Section 4: Financial Projections and Investment Recommendations - The company’s revenue is projected to decline slightly in the near term, with a forecasted revenue of 4.32 billion yuan in 2025, but is expected to stabilize and grow thereafter [9][10]. - The investment recommendation is to "Buy," with a target price of 10.30 yuan per share based on future earnings potential and market positioning [10][9].