天益医疗（301097）：公司深度报告：深耕血液净化黄金赛道，内生外延构建长期成长曲线

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2] Core Views - The report highlights that Tianyi Medical, as a leading manufacturer of blood purification consumables in China, is strategically enhancing its product matrix through acquisitions, establishing a complete ecosystem of "equipment + consumables + services" [5][6] - The company is expected to achieve rapid growth in performance driven by the continuous increase in ESRD patients, the release of policy dividends, and the expansion into overseas markets [5][6] Industry Overview - The demand for blood dialysis is expected to expand significantly, with the number of ESRD patients in China projected to reach 5.27 million by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 6.32% from 2023 to 2027 [6][15] - The treatment rate for ESRD patients in China remains low at 24.40%, indicating substantial room for market growth compared to developed countries [15][46] - The blood dialysis market in China is anticipated to grow to 51.515 billion yuan by 2030, driven by increasing patient awareness, improved healthcare policies, and advancements in blood purification technologies [15][51] Company Overview - Tianyi Medical has established three main business pillars: blood dialysis consumables, CRRT (Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy), and ward care, continuously strengthening its competitive advantage through both organic growth and acquisitions [7][8] - The company has entered into a strategic partnership with Fresenius, which is expected to significantly boost its blood dialysis consumables business, with an estimated first-year supply contract worth 40 million USD starting in 2026 [7][16] - The acquisition of CRRT business assets from Japan's Nikkiso and Italy's BELLCO S.R.L. will enable the company to offer a complete CRRT product line, enhancing its global market presence [8][18] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Tianyi Medical are as follows: 514 million yuan in 2025, 936 million yuan in 2026, and 1.556 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.7%, 82.1%, and 66.3% respectively [9][11] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 0.21 billion yuan in 2025, 0.96 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.34 billion yuan in 2027, with significant growth rates of 2967.9%, 350.4%, and 143.3% respectively [9][11]