TRIANGLE TYRE(SH:601163) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2026-01-27 14:20Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [5][16]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the establishment of its first overseas production facility in Cambodia, which will enhance its capacity to penetrate the European and American markets, leading to a simultaneous increase in volume and profit [7][8]. - The company has shown resilience in its financial performance, with a projected revenue of 10,422 million yuan for 2023, despite a slight decline in subsequent years, followed by a recovery in 2026 and 2027 [5][10]. - The report highlights the company's strategic advantages, including proximity to raw material sources, competitive labor costs, and favorable trade policies that will support its expansion efforts [7][8]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 10,422 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 13%. However, revenues are expected to decline by 3% in 2024 and 2025, before recovering to 10,406 million yuan in 2026 and 11,435 million yuan in 2027 [5][10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1,396 million yuan in 2023, with a significant year-on-year growth of 89%. This is expected to decline to 1,103 million yuan in 2024 and 949 million yuan in 2025, before rebounding to 1,121 million yuan in 2026 and 1,329 million yuan in 2027 [5][10]. - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in profit margins, with gross margins projected to increase from 17.9% in 2024 to 19.1% in 2027, reflecting operational efficiencies and cost reductions [10][11]. Market Position and Competitive Analysis - The company maintains a strong global presence, with nearly 60% of its sales coming from international markets, supported by a marketing network that spans over 180 countries [8]. - The establishment of the Cambodian factory is expected to produce 700,000 tires annually, with a significant portion allocated for high-performance tires aimed at the European and American markets [9][10]. - The report compares the company's valuation metrics favorably against peers, with a projected P/E ratio of 11.1x for 2026, which is lower than the average for comparable companies, indicating potential for growth [13][14].