LTTC(SZ:000726) GF SECURITIES·2026-01-27 15:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a current price of 7.64 CNY and a fair value of 8.97 CNY [3]. Core Views - The company is expected to see a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projected between 570 million CNY and 630 million CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 38.92% to 53.54%. This growth is primarily attributed to gains from the sale of financial assets and fair value changes of held financial assets, contributing approximately 170 million CNY to net profit [6]. - The fabric business is anticipated to face challenges, while the clothing business is expected to grow rapidly. In the first half of 2025, fabric revenue is projected to decline by 7.85% to 1.851 billion CNY, while shirt revenue is expected to increase by 24.82% to 772 million CNY. The capacity utilization rate for fabric is forecasted at 72%, down 4 percentage points year-on-year, while clothing capacity utilization is expected to rise to 95%, up 13 percentage points [6]. - The outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with expectations of improved overseas customer orders as U.S. tariff policies clarify. The company’s fabric business is set to benefit from the rapid release of capacity from its Vietnam project, and the clothing business is expected to perform better due to zero tariffs on exports to Europe from Vietnam [6]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 5,961 million CNY - 2024: 6,091 million CNY - 2025: 6,298 million CNY - 2026: 6,727 million CNY - 2027: 7,322 million CNY - The expected growth rates are -14.1% for 2023, 2.2% for 2024, 3.4% for 2025, 6.8% for 2026, and 8.9% for 2027 [2]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are: - 2023: 0.47 CNY - 2024: 0.50 CNY - 2025: 0.73 CNY - 2026: 0.64 CNY - 2027: 0.77 CNY [2].