凯格精机：锡膏印刷龙头受益于算力建设，光模块设备打造新增长极-20260128

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [9]. Core Insights - The company has a strong foothold in the solder paste printing equipment market, holding a 21.2% global market share in 2024, significantly ahead of competitors like ASMPT and ITW [2][62]. - The demand for AI computing power is driving a turning point in the company's performance, with a notable increase in revenue and profit margins expected in the coming years [2][24]. - The company is benefiting from the expansion of automation in the optical module sector, which is transitioning from labor-intensive processes to automated solutions [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Deepening in Solder Paste Printing - The company has been focused on solder paste printing equipment for 20 years, establishing a deep industry moat [2][14]. - The company has a stable shareholding structure, with key stakeholders holding approximately 61% of the shares, ensuring stable control [15][19]. - Solder paste printing equipment is the core product, contributing 64% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, with a significant increase in the share of high-margin III-class equipment [22][28]. 2. AI Computing Power Drives Product Upgrading - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI computing, with significant expansions in the PCB and PCBA sectors [3][42]. - Major clients, including Foxconn and Huawei, are increasing their capital expenditures, which will drive demand for solder paste printing equipment [3][57]. - The company has established a direct sales model, deeply binding with major clients, which enhances its market position [66]. 3. Optical Module Overseas Expansion and Automation - The optical module industry is experiencing a shift towards automation, driven by the need for high precision in assembly processes [4][70]. - The company has successfully delivered fully automated assembly lines for 800G and 1.6T optical modules to overseas clients [4]. 4. Earnings Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is expected to see significant growth in net profit, with projections of 1.9 billion, 4.0 billion, and 6.0 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9]. - The current stock price corresponds to dynamic P/E ratios of 74, 35, and 24 for the years 2025 to 2027 [9].