KWEICHOW MOUTAI(SH:600519) Zhong Guo Yin He Zheng Quan·2026-01-31 03:24Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the food and beverage industry, particularly highlighting the recovery of Moutai's pricing and the potential for demand growth during the upcoming Spring Festival [4][6]. Core Insights - Moutai's flying price has risen above 1600 yuan, attributed to the approaching Spring Festival and adjustments in product structure by the company [4][6]. - The listing of "Mingming Hen Mang" on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is expected to enhance market attention on the snack sector, with a focus on investment opportunities arising from trends in both upstream and downstream sectors [4][6]. - The food and beverage index recorded a slight positive return of 3.0% as of January 29, 2026, although it underperformed compared to the Wind All A index [4][46]. Summary by Sections 1. Price Recovery of Moutai - As of January 29, 2026, Moutai's flying price reached 1610 yuan for whole boxes and 1570 yuan for individual bottles, showing an increase of 45 yuan and 15 yuan respectively from December 31, 2025, but a decrease of 645 yuan and 650 yuan compared to the same period last year [7][41]. 2. Data Tracking - Key raw material prices have shown mixed trends, with sugar down by 15.3% year-on-year, while quail eggs and palm oil have increased by 46.9% and 9.7% respectively [16][27]. - Packaging material prices have generally decreased, with glass prices down by 19.7% and paper box prices down by 4.8% year-on-year [16][19]. 3. Market Review - The food and beverage sector ranked 23rd among 31 sub-industries, with seven out of ten sub-sectors showing positive growth, particularly processed foods, beer, and liquor [46][48]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the consumer goods sector such as Dongpeng Beverage, Nongfu Spring, and others, as well as key players in the liquor market like Moutai and Shanxi Fenjiu [49].