Eastroc Beverage(SH:605499) GF SECURITIES·2026-02-03 14:28Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A/Buy-H" rating for the company, with a current price of 253.96 CNY and 251.80 HKD, and a fair value of 303.13 CNY and 340.59 HKD [6]. Core Insights - The company is set to launch its H-shares on February 3, 2026, in Hong Kong, which reflects high market recognition. The H-share issue price is set at 248 HKD, representing an 11.8% discount compared to the A-share price of 250.14 CNY [6][7]. - The company has entered a strategic partnership with Indonesia's Sanlin Group to establish a joint venture for a vitamin functional beverage company, with an investment of up to 200 million USD. This partnership is expected to accelerate the company's expansion in Southeast Asia [8][9]. - Revenue forecasts indicate significant growth, with expected revenues of 20.95 billion CNY in 2025, 26.23 billion CNY in 2026, and 31.40 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 32.3%, 25.2%, and 19.7% respectively [2][12]. - The company's net profit is projected to reach 4.53 billion CNY in 2025, 5.67 billion CNY in 2026, and 6.85 billion CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 36.1%, 25.2%, and 20.9% respectively [2][10]. Financial Projections - The company expects to achieve an EBITDA of 5.79 billion CNY in 2025, 7.37 billion CNY in 2026, and 8.80 billion CNY in 2027 [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 8.71 CNY in 2025, 10.10 CNY in 2026, and 12.22 CNY in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 29.2, 25.1, and 20.8 [2][12]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 46.6% in 2025, 26.6% in 2026, and 28.1% in 2027 [2][12]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is focusing on capacity upgrades, brand strengthening, national deepening, and global expansion as part of its fundraising strategy [6][7]. - The partnership with Sanlin Group, which has a strong presence in various sectors including food production and distribution, is expected to provide robust support for the company's market expansion in Southeast Asia [8][9].