CBC(SH:600132) Huachuang Securities·2026-02-05 02:47Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Chongqing Beer, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][22]. Core Views - The company demonstrated resilience in its operations, with a slight revenue increase of 0.5% year-on-year to CNY 14.72 billion in 2025, and a net profit growth of 10.4% to CNY 1.23 billion [2][3]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on expanding non-traditional sales channels, such as instant retail and e-commerce, which contributed to stable revenue and sales performance despite challenges in the dining sector [2][3]. - The company is expected to continue its high dividend strategy, with a projected dividend yield of 4.7% based on a 100% payout ratio, providing a solid margin of safety for investors [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profitability: In 2025, the company achieved total revenue of CNY 14.72 billion, with a net profit of CNY 1.23 billion. The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at CNY 2.54, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21 [2][3][11]. - Cost Management: The gross margin improved due to cost benefits and product mix upgrades, despite increased marketing expenses aimed at consolidating market presence [2][3]. - Future Projections: The report adjusts the earnings forecast for 2025-2027 to CNY 1.23 billion, CNY 1.31 billion, and CNY 1.39 billion respectively, reflecting a positive outlook for continued profit growth [2][3][11]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on high-end product lines, which are expected to drive growth, alongside the recovery of dining scenarios that will support revenue increases [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of new product launches and collaborations with platforms like JD.com to capture additional market share [2][3]. Valuation Metrics - The target price for Chongqing Beer is set at CNY 67, which corresponds to a P/E ratio of approximately 25 times for 2026 earnings [3][11]. - The current market price is CNY 54.40, indicating potential upside for investors [3]. Conclusion - The report concludes that despite challenges, Chongqing Beer is well-positioned for growth with a strong dividend policy and strategic initiatives aimed at expanding its market presence [2][3].