YUTO TECH.(SZ:002831) Huachuang Securities·2026-02-05 03:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [7][13]. Core Insights - Yutong Technology (002831) is positioned as a leading player in the packaging industry, benefiting from stable growth and high dividend payouts. The company is expected to gain from the development of its smart glasses business [2][7]. - The company holds a 0.48% stake in Longqi Technology, which recently listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, potentially enhancing collaboration in the smart glasses sector [2][7]. - Yutong's overseas production capacity provides a significant competitive advantage, with higher gross margins in international markets compared to domestic ones. The gross margin for overseas markets was 28.79% in the first half of 2025, while domestic margins were only 19.41% [2][7]. - The company is projected to achieve steady revenue growth, with total revenue expected to reach 17.16 billion yuan in 2024, growing to 22.92 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.6% [2][8]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from 1.41 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.17 billion yuan in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 16.6% in 2025 [2][8]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 35.13 yuan, based on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17 times for 2026 [3][7]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for Yutong Technology are as follows: - 2024: 17,157 million yuan - 2025: 18,818 million yuan - 2026: 20,907 million yuan - 2027: 22,922 million yuan - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected as: - 2024: 1,409 million yuan - 2025: 1,643 million yuan - 2026: 1,902 million yuan - 2027: 2,172 million yuan - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to grow from 1.53 yuan in 2024 to 2.36 yuan in 2027 [2][8].