高争民爆（002827）：动态点评：大基建稀缺资产业绩略超预期，重视十五五成长性和配置价值

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Add" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook relative to the market index [3][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a total revenue of 1.825 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.82%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 197 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 32.77% [1]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by increased sales of civil explosives, while the substantial profit growth is attributed to higher sales and improved profitability in transportation and chip modules [1]. - The company is set to benefit from the ongoing demand for civil explosives in the Tibet region, with a projected production value growth of 40.70% in 2025 [6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 1.825 billion yuan for 2025, with a quarterly revenue of 564 million yuan in Q4 2025, showing an 8.48% year-on-year increase. The net profit for Q4 2025 is expected to be 71 million yuan, marking an impressive growth of 89.53% [1]. - The forecast for 2025-2027 includes revenues of 1.825 billion yuan, 2.381 billion yuan, and 3.223 billion yuan, with respective growth rates of 7.82%, 30.53%, and 35.33% [7]. Strategic Developments - The company plans to acquire 100% of an overseas civil explosive company, which will double its overall explosive production capacity to 53,000 tons. The acquisition is valued at 510 million yuan [6]. - The company is positioned to leverage the ongoing infrastructure projects in Tibet, which are expected to drive demand for civil explosives significantly [6]. Market Position - The company has a total market capitalization of approximately 10.015 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of about 9.977 billion yuan. The stock has shown a 52-week increase of 56.56% [5].