CMS(SH:600999) CMS·2026-02-08 13:11Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Growth-Value Rotation Model - Model Name: Growth-Value Rotation Model - Model Construction Idea: The model suggests overweighting growth stocks based on the current market environment and historical data analysis[4] - Model Construction Process: - The model evaluates the macroeconomic environment, valuation signals, short-term momentum signals, style breadth signals, and style congestion signals to determine the allocation between growth and value stocks[22] - The model uses the following signals: - Dynamic macro signal: 0% - Valuation reversion signal: 100% - Short-term momentum signal: 0% - Style breadth signal: 100% - Style congestion signal: 100%[23] - Model Evaluation: The model has shown a significant annualized return of 14.47% since 2011, with an annualized excess return of 7.90% over the benchmark[22] - Model Test Results: - Annualized return: 14.47% - Annualized volatility: 21.44% - Maximum drawdown: 40.08% - Sharpe ratio: 0.64 - Return-drawdown ratio: 0.36[23] 2. Small-Cap vs. Large-Cap Rotation Model - Model Name: Small-Cap vs. Large-Cap Rotation Model - Model Construction Idea: The model suggests overweighting large-cap stocks based on liquidity conditions and market trends[4] - Model Construction Process: - The model uses 11 effective rotation indicators to construct a comprehensive signal for rotating between small-cap and large-cap stocks[25] - The model evaluates the following indicators: - A-share Dragon Tiger List buying intensity: 0% - R007: 0% - Financing buy balance change: 0% - Thematic investment trading sentiment: 0% - Grade spread: 100% - Option volatility risk premium: 100% - Beta dispersion: 0% - PB differentiation: 0% - Block trading discount/premium rate: 100% - CSI 1000 MACD (10,20,10): 0% - CSI 1000 trading volume: 0%[27] - Model Evaluation: The model has consistently generated positive excess returns annually since 2014[26] - Model Test Results: - Annualized return: 20.61% - Annualized excess return: 13.18% - Maximum drawdown: 40.70% - Average turnover interval (trading days): 20 - Win rate (by trade): 50.00%[27] Model Backtest Results Growth-Value Rotation Model - Annualized return: 14.47% - Annualized volatility: 21.44% - Maximum drawdown: 40.08% - Sharpe ratio: 0.64 - Return-drawdown ratio: 0.36[23] Small-Cap vs. Large-Cap Rotation Model - Annualized return: 20.61% - Annualized excess return: 13.18% - Maximum drawdown: 40.70% - Average turnover interval (trading days): 20 - Win rate (by trade): 50.00%[27]