SPIC GECL(SZ:000875) Yin He Zheng Quan·2026-02-09 05:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company Electric Power Green Energy (stock code: 000875) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term performance pressure but is expected to benefit from the ramp-up of its green hydrogen-based energy business [1] - The company has changed its name from Jilin Electric Power Co., Ltd. to Guodian Power Green Energy Co., Ltd. to better reflect its focus on renewable energy and green hydrogen [3] - The company anticipates a significant decline in net profit for 2025, estimated between 440 million to 540 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 50.88% to 59.97% [3] - The decline in performance is attributed to challenges in both the renewable energy and thermal power sectors, including lower average utilization hours and settlement prices in the renewable sector, and reduced auxiliary service income in the thermal sector [3] - The company expects operational cash flow to improve significantly in 2025 due to accelerated subsidy payments from the government, with a total of 1.271 billion yuan received in subsidies, a 154.2% increase year-on-year [3] - The green ammonia project has entered regular operation, and the green methanol project is expected to be operational by 2028, indicating a strong future revenue potential [3] Financial Summary - The company forecasts a revenue of 12.883 billion yuan for 2025, a decrease of 6.24% from the previous year, with a projected net profit of 501 million yuan, down 54.4% [5] - The expected profit margins are 22.01% for 2025, with a gradual recovery anticipated in subsequent years [5] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.14 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 49.28 [5]