有色金属海外季报：淡水河谷2025Q4铜产量同比增加6.2%至10.81万吨，镍产量同比增长1.5%至4.62万吨

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [6] Core Insights - In Q4 2025, the copper production of Vale increased by 6.2% year-on-year to 108,100 tons, marking the highest quarterly output since 2018, driven by record production at the Salobo mine and stable operations at Sossego and Canadian polymetallic assets [2] - Nickel production in Q4 2025 reached 46,200 tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, supported by the successful commissioning of the second furnace at Onça Puma and capacity enhancements at the Voisey's Bay underground mine [2] - Iron ore production in Q4 2025 was 90,403,000 tons, up 6.0% year-on-year, primarily due to strong performance at the Brucutu mine and ongoing production increases at the Capanema and VGR1 projects [2] Production Summary - Q4 2025 copper production was 108.1 thousand metric tons, a 6.2% increase from Q4 2024 and a 19.1% increase from Q3 2025 [9] - Q4 2025 nickel production was 46.2 thousand metric tons, a 1.5% increase year-on-year but a 1.3% decrease quarter-on-quarter [9] - Q4 2025 iron ore production was 90,403 thousand metric tons, a 6.0% increase year-on-year but a 4.2% decrease quarter-on-quarter [9] Sales Summary - Q4 2025 copper sales were 106.9 thousand metric tons, an 8.0% increase year-on-year and an 18.8% increase quarter-on-quarter [10] - Q4 2025 nickel sales reached 49.6 thousand metric tons, a 5.3% increase year-on-year and a 15.6% increase quarter-on-quarter [10] - Q4 2025 iron ore sales were 84,874 thousand metric tons, a 4.5% increase year-on-year but a 1.3% decrease quarter-on-quarter [10] Average Realization Prices - The average realization price for copper in Q4 2025 was $11,003 per ton, a year-on-year increase of 19.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.1% [11] - The average realization price for nickel in Q4 2025 was $15,015 per ton, a year-on-year decrease of 7.1% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.8% [11] - The average realization price for iron ore fines in Q4 2025 was $95.4 per ton, a year-on-year increase of 2.6% [11]