XZCE(SZ:002534) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2026-02-09 11:22Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 22.22 CNY per share based on a PE of 37x for 2026 [5]. Core Views - The global demand for gas turbines is on the rise, which is expected to accelerate the revenue growth of the company's waste heat boilers. The AIDC catalytic gas turbine industry is projected to see significant growth, with demand in the U.S. expected to increase from 4.1 GW to 57.9 GW between 2025 and 2028, with growth rates of 219%, 135%, and 88% in 2026, 2027, and 2028 respectively [2]. - The company is a leader in the domestic waste heat boiler market, holding over 50% market share, and is expanding its presence in overseas markets, particularly in regions along the Belt and Road Initiative [2]. - The company has a strong foothold in the solar thermal power sector, with a market share of 58% in total design capacity and 55% in project numbers for significant solar thermal projects in China from 2021 to 2024 [3]. - The nuclear power sector is also seeing a revival, with the company planning to expand its nuclear power business and has already supplied numerous components to major nuclear power groups [4]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Company Overview - The company has evolved from a traditional waste heat boiler leader to a comprehensive supplier of clean energy equipment, with a history of nearly 50 years in the industry [15]. - It has diversified its business into nuclear power and molten salt energy storage, participating in significant projects and partnerships [15][16]. Section 2: Waste Heat Boilers - The demand for waste heat boilers is expected to rise alongside the gas turbine industry, with the company positioned to benefit from this trend [2]. - The company has seen a 16.81% year-on-year increase in new waste heat boiler orders, amounting to 1.967 billion CNY in 2025 [2][19]. Section 3: Molten Salt Energy Storage - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing solar thermal power market in China, with significant policy support and projected capacity growth [3]. - The company has established deep collaborations with leading clients in the solar thermal sector, enhancing its order prospects [3]. Section 4: Nuclear Power - The approval of nuclear power units in China is on the rise, which is expected to drive demand for nuclear equipment [4]. - The company has a long-standing partnership with major nuclear power groups and is expanding its capabilities in advanced nuclear technologies [4]. Section 5: Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 6.3 billion CNY in 2025, 7.3 billion CNY in 2026, and 8.5 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 431 million CNY, 502 million CNY, and 571 million CNY [5][8]. - The company’s PE ratios are expected to decrease from 35x in 2025 to 26x in 2027, reflecting its growth potential and market positioning [5].