XZCE(SZ:002534) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2026-02-09 14:24Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 22.22 CNY per share based on a PE of 37x for 2026 [5]. Core Insights - The global demand for gas turbines is on the rise, which is expected to accelerate the revenue growth of the company's waste heat boilers. The AIDC catalytic gas turbine industry is projected to see significant growth, with demand in the U.S. expected to increase from 4.1 GW to 57.9 GW between 2025 and 2028, with growth rates of 219%, 135%, and 88% for 2026-2028 respectively [2]. - The company is a leading domestic player in waste heat boilers, holding over 50% market share in China and has expanded its presence in overseas markets, targeting regions along the Belt and Road Initiative [2]. - The company has a strong foothold in the solar thermal power sector, with a market share of 58% in total design capacity and 55% in project numbers for significant solar thermal projects in China from 2021 to 2024 [3]. - The nuclear power sector is also seeing a revival, with the company planning to expand its nuclear power business and has already supplied numerous components to major nuclear power groups [4]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Company Overview - The company has evolved from a traditional waste heat boiler leader to a comprehensive supplier of clean energy equipment, with a history of nearly 50 years in the industry [15]. - It has diversified its offerings to include nuclear power and molten salt energy storage systems, participating in significant projects in these areas [15][16]. Section 2: Waste Heat Boilers - Waste heat boilers are critical components in gas-steam combined cycle systems, which enhance energy efficiency and reduce emissions [46]. - The demand for waste heat boilers is expected to rise in tandem with the growth of the gas turbine industry, particularly as global gas turbine manufacturers expand their production capacity [2][50]. Section 3: Solar Thermal Power - The company is positioned well in the solar thermal power market, benefiting from government policies that promote renewable energy integration [3]. - It has established long-term partnerships with leading clients in the solar thermal sector, which is expected to drive future order growth [3]. Section 4: Nuclear Power - The approval of nuclear power units in China is on the rise, which is anticipated to boost demand for nuclear equipment [4]. - The company has been a reliable supplier for major nuclear power projects and is expanding its capabilities in advanced nuclear technologies [4]. Section 5: Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for the company are projected to be 6.31 billion CNY in 2025, 7.316 billion CNY in 2026, and 8.525 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 431 million CNY, 502 million CNY, and 571 million CNY [5][8].