中策橡胶（603049）：全球化布局领先的轮胎制造企业，依托新能源趋势再上一个台阶

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2]. Core Insights - The company is a leading tire manufacturer with a global presence, benefiting from the trend towards new energy vehicles, which is expected to enhance its growth prospects [5]. - The company has established a global production capacity system, with significant expansions in both domestic and Southeast Asian facilities, aiming to optimize its global capacity structure [6][8]. - The demand for tires is expected to remain stable, driven by the recovery in global automotive sales and the increasing production and sales of new energy vehicles in China [7]. Company Overview - The latest closing price is 54.82 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 479 billion yuan and a total share capital of 8.74 billion shares [4]. - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 61.0% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.40 [4]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.208 billion yuan in 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to be 4.81 yuan [8]. - Revenue is forecasted to grow steadily, with an estimated increase from 39.255 billion yuan in 2024 to 56.835 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [10]. Market Position - The company holds the largest market share in China, with a 13.4% share in 2024, and ranks among the top ten tire manufacturers globally [16][68]. - The company has established a strong brand presence, with its "Chaoyang" brand recognized as a famous Chinese trademark [68]. Global Expansion Strategy - The company has strategically expanded its production capacity in Southeast Asia to mitigate trade barriers, with ongoing projects in Thailand, Indonesia, and Mexico [6][50]. - The establishment of a factory in Mexico is expected to enhance the company's ability to supply the U.S. market directly, further strengthening its competitive position [50][53]. Industry Trends - The global tire market is projected to grow steadily, with replacement demand accounting for a significant portion of total tire consumption [29]. - The increasing number of vehicles globally, particularly in China, is expected to drive tire replacement demand, benefiting the company [31][63].