伟隆股份(002871):“小而美”的水阀领先供应商,将受益中东城市化、工业化与IDC液冷系统需求提升

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4]. Core Views - The company, Weilon Co., Ltd., is recognized as a leading supplier of water valves, benefiting from urbanization and industrialization in the Middle East, as well as the rising demand for IDC liquid cooling systems [1][2]. - The company has maintained a steady growth trajectory, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.6% in total revenue from 2017 to 2024, and a CAGR of 11.5% in net profit during the same period [1][24]. - The water treatment valve market is projected to reach approximately 120 billion yuan in 2024, driven by urban construction and industrial infrastructure investments [2][50]. - The company has a significant first-mover advantage in overseas markets, with established production capabilities in Thailand and Saudi Arabia, which will support long-term growth [3][37]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Weilon Co., Ltd. has been deeply engaged in the water valve industry for over 30 years, with around 75% of its revenue coming from overseas markets, primarily in Europe and North America [1][14]. - The company has successfully expanded its product offerings to include valves for data center infrastructure since 2018, and it became the only qualified supplier of fire valves for Saudi Aramco in Asia by the end of 2021 [1][13]. Market Analysis - The water treatment valve market is the second-largest downstream sector in the industrial valve market, with a stable demand due to ongoing urbanization and infrastructure projects [2][50]. - The Middle East and North Africa are expected to contribute significantly to the water valve market, with an estimated 250 billion USD in water and wastewater treatment projects by the end of 2025 [2][64]. Growth Drivers - The demand for liquid cooling solutions is expected to surge due to the explosion of AI server computing power, with the liquid cooling valve market projected to reach approximately 8.4 billion yuan by 2026 [2][3]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth in emerging markets, particularly in the Middle East and North Africa, where urbanization and industrialization are accelerating [2][64]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.3 billion yuan in 2025, 1.7 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.2 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 37, 28, and 22 times [4][39]. - The company's gross margin has remained stable at around 40%, with a net profit margin consistently above 20% [28][32].