Tuopu Group(SH:601689) Guolian Minsheng Securities·2026-02-12 07:25Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 287.5 to 303.5 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.1% to 14.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be between 26.0 to 29.0 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 13.4% to 3.4% year-on-year [1] - The revenue midpoint for 2025 is estimated at 295.5 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 11.1%. The fourth quarter of 2025 is expected to see revenue between 78.2 to 94.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.9% to 30.0% [2] - The growth in revenue is attributed to the recognition of the Tier 0.5 cooperation model by domestic and international clients, accelerated international expansion, and cost management strategies that enhance operational efficiency [2] - The decline in profit is attributed to fluctuations in raw material prices, increased market competition, and the high fixed costs associated with new overseas production capacities [2] Financial Projections - For 2025, the company is projected to have total revenue of 29,550 million yuan, with a growth rate of 11.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 2,764 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 7.9% [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 1.59 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 45 [4] - The company anticipates revenue growth to continue, with projections of 35,877 million yuan in 2026 and 42,838 million yuan in 2027, alongside net profits of 3,400 million yuan and 4,260 million yuan respectively [4] Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on a platform-based approach with eight product lines, aiming to become a leading player in the global automotive parts industry. It has established stable partnerships with both innovative and traditional automotive manufacturers [9] - The company is actively expanding its capabilities in robotics and AI applications, with significant investments planned for new production bases in Thailand and other regions [9]