Amlogic(SH:688099) Huachuang Securities·2026-02-12 13:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.793 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 14.63%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 871 million yuan, up 6% year-over-year. The total chip sales exceeded 174 million units, marking a growth of approximately 21.68% [2][4]. - The company anticipates a revenue growth of 10% to 20% in Q1 2026 and a full-year revenue increase of 25% to 45% for 2026 [2]. - The gross margin for 2025 was reported at 37.97%, an increase of 1.42 percentage points year-over-year, with a projected gross margin of 40.46% for Q4 2025 [8]. - The company has established a strong partnership with Google, serving as a core chip supplier for Google's next-generation AI hardware, which is expected to enhance its market position significantly [8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2024A: Revenue of 5.926 billion yuan, net profit of 822 million yuan - 2025E: Revenue of 6.793 billion yuan, net profit of 871 million yuan - 2026E: Revenue of 8.878 billion yuan, net profit of 1.477 billion yuan - 2027E: Revenue of 10.760 billion yuan, net profit of 1.885 billion yuan [4][9]. - Growth Rates: - Revenue growth rates are projected at 10.3% for 2024, 14.6% for 2025, 30.7% for 2026, and 21.2% for 2027 [4][9]. - Net profit growth rates are expected to be 65.0% for 2024, 6.0% for 2025, 69.5% for 2026, and 27.7% for 2027 [4][9]. - Valuation Metrics: - The company is projected to have a P/E ratio of 48 for 2024, decreasing to 21 by 2027. The P/B ratio is expected to decline from 6.2 in 2024 to 3.7 in 2027 [4][9]. Product and Market Development - The company has successfully launched over 20 chip models featuring its self-developed intelligent computing units, with a significant increase in sales of 6nm chips expected to reach 30 million units in 2026, a growth of approximately 233% [8]. - The company has also expanded its product lineup in Wi-Fi technology, with sales of Wi-Fi 6 chips expected to exceed 10 million units in 2026 [8]. - The acquisition of ChipMic has strengthened the company's technology matrix in cellular communication, optical communication, and Wi-Fi [8].