BTG Hotels(SH:600258) Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan·2026-02-13 00:25Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shoulu Hotel (600258) with a target price based on the last closing price of 16.90 [1][10]. Core Insights - Shoulu Hotel is investing in new hotel constructions to expand its assets, focusing on mid-to-high-end hotel segments in key urban areas, which reflects a strategic move to optimize its development model and capitalize on industry recovery opportunities [4][6]. - The company is adopting a dual approach of "new construction and leasing" to balance long-term asset accumulation with short-term profit realization, which aligns with the trend of combining light and heavy asset models in the hotel industry [8][9]. Summary by Sections Investment Projects - Shoulu Hotel's subsidiary, Home Inn (China), plans to invest 280.51 million yuan in a new hotel in Suzhou, with an expected internal rate of return (IRR) of about 4% and a construction period of 14 months [3][4]. - The company also intends to lease a property in Beijing for 322.75 million yuan, with an expected IRR of approximately 12% and a construction period of 9-10 months [3][4]. Strategic Positioning - The projects are strategically located in high-potential areas, covering the Yangtze River Delta and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei economic zones, which are crucial for long-term performance growth [5][6]. - The Suzhou project is positioned in a provincial high-tech zone, benefiting from strong business and leisure demand, while the Beijing project is near major cultural and tourism attractions, enhancing its market presence [5][6]. Brand and Market Strategy - Both projects focus on mid-to-high-end brands, with a multi-brand strategy to cater to different customer segments, thereby avoiding internal brand competition and enhancing overall market competitiveness [7][8]. - The company aims to optimize its product structure and reduce reliance on low-end economy hotels, aligning with the trend of consumer upgrading in the hotel industry [7][8]. Financial Projections - Revenue and profit forecasts indicate a positive outlook, with expected net profits of 8.44 billion, 9.49 billion, and 10.87 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting growth rates of 4.65%, 12.51%, and 14.47% respectively [10][12]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 0.76, 0.85, and 0.97 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 22X, 20X, and 17X [10][12].