SUPCON Technology (SH:688777) Western Securities·2026-02-13 10:33Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Insights - The company has set ambitious revenue targets for 2026-2028, aiming for 10.5 billion, 14.5 billion, and 20 billion yuan respectively, with specific targets for its industrial AI business of 1 billion, 2.5 billion, and 5 billion yuan [5] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 7.64 billion to 8.44 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 7.60% to 16.40%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 426 million to 524 million yuan, down 53.07% to 61.85% [5][2] - The company is focusing on industrial AI, with a "1+2+N" technology system to enhance its core control systems, achieving a 40.4% market share in the domestic DCS market by 2024 [2] - The company has launched a subscription model, signing 938 subscription clients in the first half of 2025, transitioning from traditional hardware sales to ongoing services [2] - The self-developed industrial AI product, TPT, generated 117 million yuan in revenue in the first half of 2025 and has been applied in 110 projects with major clients [2] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 8.12 billion, 9.66 billion, and 11.47 billion yuan, respectively, with a forecasted growth rate of -11.2% in 2025, followed by 18.9% and 18.8% in the subsequent years [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 495 million yuan in 2025, with a significant decline of 55.7%, followed by a recovery to 838 million and 1.36 billion yuan in 2026 and 2027, respectively [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.63 yuan in 2025, increasing to 1.06 yuan in 2026 and 1.71 yuan in 2027 [3]