SANY(SH:600031) Soochow Securities·2026-02-14 02:25Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for SANY Heavy Industry [1] Core Views - SANY Heavy Industry is positioned as a global leader in the construction machinery sector, benefiting from both cyclical recovery and systemic advantages [1] - The company is expected to fully benefit from the current industry recovery cycle, with projected net profits of 85 billion, 111 billion, and 127 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 25, 19, and 17 [1] Summary by Sections 1. Domestic and International Resonance - The construction machinery industry is entering a new cycle, with exports becoming a core driver of growth, expected to account for 50% of total sales by 2025 [13][14] - Domestic excavator sales are projected to recover moderately, with a peak expected in 2028 at 250,000 units, indicating significant growth potential [17][21] - The overseas market is anticipated to enter a new upward cycle in 2026, aligning with domestic recovery [35] 2. Global Leadership and Multi-Category Development - SANY Heavy Industry has established a diversified product system centered around excavators, maintaining a leading position in key categories [1] - The company benefits from a stable shareholding structure and strong control by the founding team, which enhances operational stability [1] 3. Integrated Product, Channel, and Service Strategy - SANY focuses on high-margin core categories, enhancing product competitiveness through significant R&D investment and technological advancements [1] - The company has developed a robust sales network through a shareholding dealer model, improving market penetration and resilience [1] 4. Valuation Rationality - The report suggests that SANY's valuation is reasonable, with expectations for steady upward movement as overseas expansion continues [1] - The company's operational quality is improving, with significant enhancements in profit margins and cash flow metrics [1]