RADICAL(SZ:300652) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2026-02-24 05:13Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its future performance [8][9]. Core Insights - The company has a solid foundation in the automotive bearing sector and is actively expanding into the humanoid robot component market. It has successfully transitioned from the aftermarket to the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) market, with a focus on high-value products [6][8]. - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 10.36 billion, 13.81 billion, and 17.96 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 39.9%, 33.4%, and 30.0% [9]. - The company has established a strong position in both the aftermarket and OEM markets, benefiting from the increasing penetration of new energy vehicles and domestic substitution trends [8][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Long-term Focus on Bearing Industry - The company has been dedicated to the automotive bearing industry for 20 years, with a stable management team and a successful transition from the aftermarket to the OEM market [18]. - Core products include hub bearings, tapered bearings, and various other components, with a focus on expanding its manufacturing capabilities [24][25]. - Financial performance has shown steady growth, with revenues of 7.4 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 13.5% [34]. 2. Automotive Bearing Market Stability - The automotive bearing market is characterized by significant growth potential and a fragmented competitive landscape, with the company positioned to capitalize on this [53][56]. - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of major domestic automakers, indicating its competitive strength in the OEM market [66]. - The aftermarket remains a stable revenue source, supported by a growing vehicle population and aging average vehicle age [67]. 3. Humanoid Robot Growth Potential - The company is leveraging its expertise in bearings to enter the actuator and humanoid robot markets, creating a second growth curve [8][11]. - Investments in technology companies related to brain-machine interfaces and dexterous hands are expected to enhance its competitive position in the robotics sector [8][11]. - The integration of bearing technology into the production of robotic components is anticipated to provide a significant advantage [11][66]. 4. Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.52 billion, 2.12 billion, and 2.79 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio that is significantly lower than industry averages [9][34]. - The financial outlook is supported by a robust growth trajectory in both the aftermarket and OEM segments, with a focus on high-margin products [9][34].