AVIC XAC(SZ:000768) Huachuang Securities·2026-02-24 15:11Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommended" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4][8]. Core Insights - The company is a key player in China's large and medium aircraft development and manufacturing, contributing significantly in three areas: military aircraft, domestic civil aircraft, and international cooperation and subcontracting [6][24]. - The company has shown a revenue growth from 32.7 billion to 43.2 billion from 2021 to 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% [4][25]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 1.023 billion in 2024 to 1.552 billion in 2027, with a CAGR of 16% [5][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company was established in 1997 and became the first listed company in China's aviation manufacturing sector. It focuses on the integrated development and manufacturing of large and medium aircraft [12][15]. - The company has undergone significant restructuring to focus on military and civil aircraft manufacturing, aiming to become a world-class innovative aviation enterprise [12][15]. Military Aircraft - The company independently developed the Y-20 military strategic transport aircraft, filling a gap in China's large military transport aircraft capabilities [4][33]. - The Y-20 serves as a platform for various applications, including air refueling and emergency rescue, enhancing its strategic importance [7][37]. Domestic Civil Aircraft - The company is a major supplier for the C919 and C909 aircraft, which are expected to see significant demand in the coming years, with projections of 7,250 single-aisle jets and 1,703 twin-aisle jets needed in the Chinese market from 2025 to 2044 [9][24]. - The company is also involved in the production of key components for the AG600 amphibious aircraft and the new regional aircraft, enhancing its position in the civil aviation market [19][24]. International Cooperation - The company is one of the largest participants in international subcontracting, producing components for Airbus and Boeing, which secures a steady flow of business [4][19]. - The backlog of orders for Boeing and Airbus exceeds 15,000 aircraft, ensuring future business development for the company [8][19]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.14 billion, 1.32 billion, and 1.55 billion from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.41, 0.47, and 0.56 [5][8]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to decrease from 74 in 2025 to 54 in 2027, indicating potential growth in profitability [5][8].