Nvidia(US:NVDA) citic securities·2026-02-25 08:41Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral stance on Nvidia, indicating that the company is currently perceived as leaning towards OpenAI rather than maintaining a neutral position in the AI model competition [6]. Core Insights - Nvidia's stock has seen a modest increase of 7-8% over the past six months, significantly lagging behind other AI-related stocks, such as TSMC, which rose by 73%, and memory chip stocks that surged by 180-300% [5]. - The upcoming earnings report is viewed as a crucial opportunity to reshape market narratives, focusing not only on financial performance but also on narrative reconstruction [5]. - Nvidia's announcement of the full-scale production of the Rubin GPU ahead of schedule is expected to support revenue acceleration, especially in light of unclear timelines for competitors like AMD [6]. - The company is confident in maintaining a gross margin of around 70% despite rising cost pressures, which is expected to be reiterated in the upcoming earnings call [6]. - The Nvidia GTC event scheduled for March 16-19 is anticipated to be a pivotal moment for reshaping narratives around AI development, emphasizing the rapid growth in token consumption and the annual recurring revenue of AI startups [6][7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Nvidia focuses on the design and development of graphics processing units (GPUs) across four major markets: gaming, professional visualization, data centers, and automotive. The AI boom has overshadowed other business segments, with data center operations projected to contribute over 90% of revenue in the coming years [9]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue by Product: - Computing and Networking: 89.0% - Graphics: 11.0% [10] - Revenue by Region: - Asia: 48.6% - Americas: 47.9% - Europe: 2.6% - Middle East and Africa: 0.8% [10] Stock Information - Stock Price (as of February 23, 2026): $191.55 - Market Capitalization: $461.263 billion - Consensus Target Price: $254.81 [12][13]