SKSHU(SH:603737) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2026-02-26 03:05Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [11]. Core Insights - The report highlights a focus on domestic paint manufacturers, particularly SanKeShu, which is projected to achieve a profit of 760-960 million RMB in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 129%-189%, significantly outperforming Nippon Paint China [3]. - Nippon Paint China's revenue for FY2025 is estimated at 470.7 billion JPY (approximately 21 billion RMB), reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5.8%, primarily due to a sluggish real estate market [5]. - The report anticipates that SanKeShu will experience rapid growth in the consumer segment (C-end) driven by initiatives like Beautiful Countryside and Artistic Paint, while the business segment (B-end) is expected to remain stable [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Nippon Paint China's adjusted operating profit for FY2025 is projected at 69.2 billion JPY (approximately 3.09 billion RMB), with an operating profit margin of 14.7%, an increase of 3.1 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to cost optimization and expense control [5]. - In Q4 2025, Nippon Paint China's revenue was 100.1 billion JPY (approximately 4.47 billion RMB), showing a year-on-year decline of 18.0% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 20.0% [5]. - The revenue breakdown for 2025 shows a decline in architectural decoration coatings by 15.9%, while automotive and industrial coatings saw slight growth [5]. Growth Projections - For 2026, Nippon Paint aims for an overall revenue growth of 8.2%, with specific targets of high single-digit growth for TUC and low single-digit growth for TUB [5]. - The report emphasizes three core strategies: enhancing brand premium and channel coverage for TUC, deepening collaborations with quality real estate and state-owned enterprises for TUB, and upgrading technical capabilities in automotive coatings [5]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a valuation table for listed companies, indicating that SanKeShu's stock price is 54.30 RMB per share, with projected earnings per share of 1.17 RMB for 2025, resulting in a price-to-earnings ratio of 47 [6].