石药集团(01093):首次覆盖报告:石药集团:创新兑现与国际化顺利推进

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company [1][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights the strong innovation and R&D capabilities of the company, which is entering a harvest period for innovative drugs and has established an international business development ecosystem with several significant licensing agreements [2][10]. - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in EPS from 0.37 in 2024 to 0.75 in 2025, with a projected growth rate of 48% [10]. - The target price for the company is set at 16.58 HKD, reflecting a favorable valuation based on comparable company analysis [10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 31,450.11 million RMB in 2023, with a slight increase of 1.7% [4]. - Net profit is expected to decrease by 3.6% in 2023, followed by a significant recovery of 47.5% in 2025 [4]. - The company’s PE ratio is forecasted to decrease from 18.26 in 2023 to 12.34 in 2026, indicating an improving valuation over time [4]. Pipeline Overview - The company has a leading position in the oncology pipeline, particularly with SYS6010, which is the fastest progressing EGFR ADC globally, with multiple early-stage assets expected to report data in 2026 [10][16]. - In the weight loss and metabolic areas, the company has established a leading position domestically and has signed a strategic collaboration with AstraZeneca for the development of innovative long-acting peptide drugs [10][24]. - The company has a robust pipeline in the small nucleic acid technology sector, positioning it as a leader in the domestic siRNA market [10][24]. Business Development and International Strategy - The company is making steady progress in its international strategy, with ongoing collaborations with AstraZeneca and other multinational corporations, reflecting its competitive edge in innovative drug development [10][24]. - The company is expected to continue achieving external licensing agreements, with over 20 innovative drug assets entering clinical stages annually [10][24].